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December 19, 2001

Scott Brattly

What Happened to My Sure Thing? Part 1  

We can’t begin to tell you how often we hear hockey poolies bemoan their high selections in their pools that are outright killing them. You know the ones we mean, first, second and maybe even third round draft picks that you thought were locks for HUGE seasons, and have turned out…well…to be less than player should be at that spot in your draft. In the infamous words of a recent former president – “we feel your pain!

Over the next two weeks, we look at a list of guys that potentially fit this category, why they maybe be struggling and what you can do about it to minimize the impact. First stop on our walk of shame – San Jose.

Teemu Selanne : Much was expected from the Finnish Flash when the Sharks acquired him last year right before the trade dealing – and wouldn’t you know it, he gets hurt right away (knee surgery and then a crunched thumb) and doesn’t come off the shelf until the off-season. This year, entering his big year before unrestricted free agency and playing with a talented nucleus of Vincent Damphousse, Owen Nolan, Patrick Marleau, Gary Suter and Brad Stuart, Selanne was poised to regain his 98-99 form that saw him score 47 goals and 106 points in 75 games. Well, he has not lived up to the hype. In 31 games this season, Selanne has 11 goals, 25 points and is a team worst minus 5. Brutal numbers for a guy making a cool $9.5 million.

So the question begging to be answered is, what’s wrong with Teemu? Firstly, let’s look at the physical. Selanne did not have a great off-season in terms of conditioning. He reported throughout training camp that his back was ailing and that his scoped knee was not 100%. It appears as though it's only recently that he has playing relatively pain free and feeling good on the ice. Secondly, you have to look at the Sharks, and how Selanne fits into the team. Coach Darryl Sutter plays a defense-first, roll four lines, bust your hump, share the minutes type of system that is focused on winning hockey games not producing big numbers for offensive stars – just ask Patrick Marleau. This is bad news for the Flash. For the first 11 games, he played with Marleau and there was no chemistry. For the last 20, it’s been with Vinnie Damphousse and Selanne has begun to hit the score sheet – but at no where near the clip he was before. Sutter expects his players to share the load, work hard for loose pucks and play an all around game. This has seen Selanne’s minutes hover in the 12-18 range (down from the 22 plus he used to get with the Ducks) and for Sutter to publicly comment, "When he's hungry for loose pucks and competing, he's a good player". And when he doesn't, he's just a real average player,". Thirdly, we have comments from the man himself, who said in a San Francisco paper, "I don't think anything great happens right away. You don't want to be impatient, but you always are," he added. "I've always played in the second half, so I'm looking forward to the rest of the season."

Conclusion? When you add all that up, despite what Selanne may hope happens in the second half of the season, this could be trouble. The Shark version of Selanne will never be the 45 goal sniper he was in Anaheim. This is a stinging realization if you picked him in the first or second round of your draft.

That said, so now what? What do you do with the guy? Well, the good news is that over the past 13 games, Selanne has tallied 8 times. Better, but watch Teemu carefully at your next opportunity. We have grown accustomed to seeing him race for loose pucks and blow by opposing defensemen with great speed and fare, and frankly, he looks like he just doesn’t have it – for whatever reason. He keeps top the perimeter, never driving the net with puck on his stick, and that’s never good news for a goal-scorer.

Our advice, for now, is sit on him and hope. Hope that he continues to play better and begins to play with more confidence. With that will come more chances, more ice time and for poolies, hopefully more points. Watch his linemates carefully though. If he plays with anyone else other than Damphousse, sit him on your reserve until he does. At this point, he’s a bit of an albatross. If you attempted to deal him now, you would not get good value – at least in our pool.

See you in Colorado in a few days.

 

 


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