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Predictor Glossary - What Does it All Mean!

Glossary - Skaters

Rank Player's Rank based on Fantasy Points (or on Points if Fantasy Points not chosen see ranking notes)
Fantasy Points Puckjunkie exclusive ranking system (see ranking notes)
POS Position - we do our best, but this can change day-to-day depending on the coach
Tm Team
GP Projected Games Played
G Projected Goals
A Projected Assists
Pts Projected Points
+/- Projected +/-
PIM Projected Penalty Minutes
PPG Projected Powerplay Goals
PPA Projected Powerplay Assists
SHG Projected Shorthanded Goals
SHA Projected Shorthanded Assists
Sh Projected Shots
Sh% Projected Sh%
PSP Actual Previous Season Points
P/G Projected Points per Game
G/G Projected Goals per Game
A/G Projected Assists per Game
P Prospect - A young player with a chance to make an impact (not necessarily a rookie)
S Sleeper - A player who could, given the right circumstances, perform BETTER than expected
Risky Risky pick - there is a good chance this player will disappoint
Safety Rating The Safety Rating is meant to reflect a player's ability to reach our projections (see safety rating notes)
Fantasy Upside What we think is good about this player from the fantasy perspective
Fantasy Risk Anything we think might make you think twice about this player
Updates Any significant change that might affect the player's numbers
Date Updated Last time we changed this player's data set
Injuries Injuries that might affect the player during the regular season
Contract Years remaining on contract (including current year)
Salary Actual salary of the player for the coming season (not necessarily the "cap hit")
FW Predicted Faceoff Wins
F% Predicted Faceoff Win percentage

Glossary - Goalies

Tm Team
GP Projected Games Played
GA Projected Goals Against
SA Projected Shots Against
GAA Projected Goals Against Average
Saves Projected Saves
Save % Projected Save Percentage
Wins Projected Wins
Shutouts Projected Shutouts
Prev GAA Previous Season GAA
Prev Sv% Previous Season Sv%
Prev Wins Previous Season Wins
Goalie Ranking Puckjunkie exclusive ranking system (see ranking notes)
P Prospect - A young player with a chance to make an impact (not necessarily a rookie)
S Sleeper - A player who could, given the right circumstances, perform BETTER than expected
Risky Risky pick - there is a good chance this player will disappoint
Safety Rating The Safety Rating is meant to reflect a player's ability to reach our projections (see safety rating notes)
Fantasy Upside What we think is good about this player from the fantasy perspective
Fantasy Risk Anything we think might make you think twice about this player
Updates Any significant change that might affect the player's numbers
Date Updated Last time we changed this player's data set
Injuries Injuries that might affect the player during the regular season
Contract Years remaining on contract (including current year)
Salary Actual salary of the player for the coming season (not necessarily the "cap hit")

A Note on Ranking and Fantasy Points

Ranking is based on the fantasy points category - Puckjunkie's proprietary formula that weighs selected stat categories that you have chosen and assigns an overall point value to each player. We get asked a lot, but we don't share that formula - that's what makes it proprietary! But we will tell you that it developed through extensive testing based on real world stats. It is not based on a simple average (assigning 1 point for every goal, assist, penalty minute, etc.). We tried that and it doesn't work! Stat categories that are included in the ranking formula are: goals, assists, points, powerplay goals, powerplay assists, shorthanded goals, shorthanded assists, plus/minus, penalty minutes (as a positive) and shots. Of course the rankings will change depending on which of these categories you include in your cheatsheet. The ranking system also factors in position scarcity - d-men are given a bump because there are less of them. If your league doesn't set a premium on d-men (i.e. makes you choose a certain number of them) you'll want to drop each d-man a few spots in the ranking (use points as a rule of thumb for where they better fit in).

The goalie ranking stat categories can include Wins, Shutouts, GAA, GA, Save % and Saves . The formula accounts for Goals Against as a negative (to reflect that lower is better), so it is possible to have a negative Fantasy Point total for a goalie.

We give you the option of seeing both the ranking (1, 2, 3...) and the Fantasy Points because this helps to determine the true differential between players. While two players might be ranked one after another, the actual difference between those two players can be big or small. Even if the fantasy points number is the same, they are ranked on the raw number (before rounding - hey even the smallest number counts!). So if you are trying to choose between two guys who seem pretty much the same have a look at the totals in the fantasy point column to get a complete picture of the difference between them.

Of course, no ranking system is perfect - not when you are dealing with as many variables as we are (not to mention the greatest variable - human behaviour!). What we have tried to do with our system is give you as much information as possible so that you can make an informed choice.

A Note on Safety Rating

There are a number of things that can impact the Safety Rating, including: injury risk, being in the coaches dog-house, being a new player without a reputation in the league, etc. The numbers in the Safety Rating correspond to the following table:
 

Safety Rating

Definition

5 Ironman - never misses a game
4 Has rarely missed a game over the past 3 years.
3 Has had some injury troubles or been a healthy scratch
2 Can find himself in the press box, the minors or the trainer's room fairly regularly
1 Very unreliable - could easily miss large parts of a season (or seasons)

 

Puckjunkie News

2010/11 Predictor Update Schedule

01/09 Pre-Camp Release

13/09 -15/10 Daily Updates

16 - 31/10 Updates as needed

19/01 Mid-Season Update

10/04 Playoff Predictor

2010/11 Premium Article Schedule

02/09 Keeper League Prospects

03/09 Top Prospects

8 - 15/09 Conference Previews

20/09 Pool Killers

21/09 Top Risk Picks

22/09 Top Sleeper Picks

23/09 Top Rebound Picks

24/09 Predicted Final Standing

06 -07/12 Quarterpole Updates

28/02 Trade Deadline Preview

 

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